My Tipping Performance Measured and Recorded
I bet on my own account using the tipping advice found throughout this site. One of the biggest things we stand for is that you have to put your money where your mouth is. There is no point having a site preaching about how to make money from sports betting if I'm not prepared to show how I go. Every single bet that I have will be honestly recorded on this page - no matter how painful this might be! Summary Total invested (on all bets): $895 Diary 26 February 2009: My first investment, which I placed a few hours ago was $100 on Australia to beat South Africa in the first cricket test match. I received odds of $4.56, for a potential profit of $356. 1 March 2009: Australia are in front. I had $20 on South Africa at 16.45 at the start of day 3. So my current position is if Australia win I make a profit of $337.25, if South Africa win I make $209.10 and if it is a draw I lose $120. At the current prices I could also back the draw and thus ensure a profit but I won't at this point because the value is not there. 2 March 2009: The final day of the match: The draw had drifted to $6.20 and so with the threat of rain still there I had $35 on it. I am now in the happy position that regardless of the result I make a profit: $304 for Australia, $185 for South Africa and $62 for the draw. 3 March 2009: Australia ended up winning so I have made a net profit of $304. 6 March 2009: The second cricket test match between Australia and South Africa is just starting. Again I think Australia are pretty good value and have had $50 on them to win at $3.75. 6 March 2009: An hour later - South Africa have drifted to $5.46 and I have had $30 on them. 6 March 2009: An hour later: I had $50 on Queensland to beat New South wales in the Super 14 rugby union at $2.33 with 20 minutes to go - Queensland leading by 1. Result - Queensland lost and I lost $50. Current total profit $254. 8 March 2009: I've had a further $5 on South Africa at $12.40. 9 March 2009: I've had $15 on the draw at $6.81. 9 March 2009: It is tea on the 4th day's play and South Africa are at $28.50. Given there seem to be a couple of Australian bowlers injured and that if they kept up their current rate of scoring South Africa would win I've had $10 on them, just because $28.50 seems over the odds. 10 March 2009: Leading into the final day South Africa would have to chase down a total much higher than anything ever achieved in the 132 year history of test cricket. This will probably be beyond them but at $11.93 I still think they are some value and have had $10 more on them. 11 March 2009: The task was beyond South Africa and Australia won, giving me a return of $191.25 and a profit of $71.25 for the match. My cumulative profit is now $325.25. 22 March 2009: I have had $50 on the Canberra Raiders to beat the Sydney Roosters by 13 points or more in the Australian National Rugby League at $2.634. The Roosters were hammered by South Sydney last week. Canberra played quite well last week and are notoriously difficult to beat at home. I think they are likely to win by 13+ and these odds are good value. Later that day... Depressingly, the Roosters smashed the Raiders 24-4. So much for the Raiders winning 13+! 23 March 2009 at 1am: Australia, with 6 wickets down need 157 runs to make South Africa bat again, and are $673. They are next to no chance, but I think $673 is a touch too generous so have had $5 on them. Later that night... For awhile the dream was alive. Australia continued to close the deficit and at one point had shortened to $82. But, a crucial wicket fell and then the end came quickly. 24 March 2009: At a local club for dinner with family I was bored and studied the form for a greyhound race. I selected a dog which looked to have form about equal the favourites, but was the outsider at $29. I had $5 each way on it - it started well and was vying for the lead when 3 dogs collided and it was barrelled back and finished last. Had it not been for the collision it may well have figured in the finish, but it was still a pretty silly bet. 28 March 2009 (27 March 2009 in South Africa): I have had $50 on Australia to beat South Africa in the Twenty20 cricket in South Africa at $3.85 (before 5% commission)at the start of the South African innings, with South Africa chasing 167 to win. I was surprised that Australia weren't favourites. A few overs later, with South Africa losing their 3rd wicket the odds had changed and I was able to have $30 on them at $2.72. So, if South Africa win my net result (after commission) is a profit of $1.52 and if Australia win my profit (after commission) is $106.88. Result: South Africa collapsed but then came from nowhere to win. Very disappointing, but I'm glad I had laid off on them - a profit of $1.52 is much better than a loss of $50. 1 April 2009: Australia is taking on Uzbekistan in a 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifier in Sydney. Australia are strong favourites and, in my opinion, Uzbekistan at $11.50 and the draw at $4.50 are good value: Uzbekistan had been the stronger team and were unlucky to lose 1-0 in the teams' earlier meeting in Tashkent and their recent form is good. Obviously Australia deserve to be strong favourites though, so I've had small bets only - $10 on the draw and $10 on the Uzbeks. Later that night: After a scoreless first half, Australia ended up winning 2 nil. 4 April 2009: I had two small bets on the Golden Slipper, the world's richest race for two year old horses: $5 each way on Horizons and $5 each way on Melito. ('$5 each way' means $5 on the win and $5 on the place). The wet track had thrown the betting into some disarray with the earlier races being won by horses running on the pace and with wet track form. Being a 2 year old race, none of the horses had had more than a few starts - my two selections seemed to have the best wet track form and looked as thought they would not get too far back. Melito at $28 and Horizons at $25 seemed to represent good value - however, disaoppointingly, neither featured in the finish. 5 April 2009: Australia are 6/40 in the second one day cricket international against South Africa - their worst ever start to a one day international. They are paying $14.30 to win and I have had $10 on them. My father has roundly criticised this bet, saying that Australia's true price should be $50. He is right - and although I'm very keen for Australia to win, even if they do, it probably isn't a very smart bet. Result: As expected, South Africa won comfortably: A wasted $10. 9 April 2009: Watching Australia gradually sink to almost certain defeat in the small hours does strange things to one's mind. I have had $5 on Australia to beat South Africa at $95. As with some of my other bets, although Australia are unlikely to win, I still can't believe someone is prepared to give me almost 100-1. The Aussies need 160 off 97 with 5 wickets in hand, on a slow pitch, under lights in Cape Town. Result: Australia never really got in the hunt, despite playing ok. Still, I thiink for a $5 outlay at such huge odds this wasn't a bad bet. 12 April 2009: I've had $20 on NZ Warriors to beat Newcastle at $2.159 and $10 on The Wests Tigers to beat Manly at $3.233 in the NRL. Result: Disappointingly, both of my sides lost - the Warriors in a very close affair. 18 April 2009: I have had $200 on Australia at $1.62 to beat South Africa in the fifth cricket one day international. It was towards the end of the match with South Africa needing about 90 off 60 with 5 wickets in hand. South Africa lost 3 quick wickets and blew out to $32 and I had $10 on them - ensuring a nice profit either way. Australia ended up wining comfortably and so I made a profit of $114. Nice to win again! 18 April 2009: In the National Rugby League I have had $10 on Newcastle to beat St George Illawarra by 13+ points at $9.80 (before commission) and $10 on South Sydney to beat Manly 13+ at $7.80 (before commission). Result: Unfortunately neither result came through, although Newcastle went close. $20 down the drain. 19 April 2009: In the early hours of the morning after the Rajasthan Royals restricted the Bangalore Royal Challengers to 133 in the Indian Premier League, I have had $50 on Bangalore at $5.10 (before commission). Given that most of the Bangalore batsmen had struggled and only the class of Dravid and Pietersen allowed Bangalore to post any sort of target I thought that Rajasthan were no good things to win. Sure enough, under the lights and with some accurate bowling, Rajasthan slumped to be 5 out very quickly and I laid off by having $10 on them at $10 (before commission). I am now in the happy position that I win $185.25 if Bangalore win and $38.00 if Rajasthan win. Result: Rajhastan were all out for just 58. Very satisfying - but it seems I can only win on cricket! Nevertheless I am now $456.02 in front, with a 53.97% profit on turnover. 24 April 2009: 2nd one dayer, Pakistan versus Australia. Pakistan are 3/101 and I've had $50 on them at $2.60 (before Betfair commission). Disaster! After that bet on 24 April, work commitments kept me busy until early June. On a holiday, I made the schoolboy error of having a bet after having had a few beers - a large bet that lost. What followed is a text book guide on how not to bet intelligently - over the coming weeks I chased my money and bet absolutely stupidly. I did not feel like updating this site because I was losing so badly. But now, in mid-August, with work not being so busy, I've summoned the courage to go back through my betting account to chronicle the debacle that took place! After the bet on 24 April (which lost) my profit stood atReturn from tipping to best tipsters
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