Analysis of My Football Tips

By football, I'm talking soccer. Football tips are everywhere on the internet. Most are heavily biased by team loyalty and nowhere can I see a site where people are held to account for whether the bets they make are profitable or not.

I will endeavour to only bet when I feel I have enough knowledge about a game or market to assess whether any option represents great value. In most cases no value will exist - and I will not bet but will wait patiently. Then when value comes along I will strike and thus bet profitably. That is the theory anyway...

Summary

Total invested (on all bets): $20
Total invested (on finalised bets only): $20
Return: $0.00
Loss: $20.00
Per centage loss on turnover: 100%

Details

1 April 2009 - World Cup Qualifier, Australia versus Uzbekistan

$10 on Uzbekistan at $11.50
$10 on the draw at $4.50

Result - Australia won 2-0
Loss $20.00

Analysis

As stated in my betting diary, I had two small bets on this match because of the value. I didn't think that form warranted the draw and Uzbekistan being such value, even though I did think Australia were likely to win. As it turned out it was nil all at half time - indeed Uzbekistan could have been a goal up with a bit more luck. Australia outplayed the Uzbeks in the second half and were deserved winners but, despite losing, I still think the bets I had were intelligent.

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